Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.045667 0.049754 0.053903 0.058424 0.063203 0.068097 0.073483
2024-12-29 0.039612 0.045622 0.051952 0.059089 0.066884 0.075113 0.084432
2025-01-05 0.034892 0.042287 0.050338 0.059691 0.070196 0.081569 0.094752
2025-01-12 0.030400 0.038698 0.048021 0.059158 0.071984 0.086183 0.102980
2025-01-19 0.027509 0.036612 0.047133 0.060008 0.075160 0.092249 0.112806
2025-01-26 0.024375 0.033927 0.045279 0.059503 0.076588 0.096198 0.120153
2025-02-02 0.022102 0.032071 0.044226 0.059781 0.078806 0.100977 0.128422
2025-02-09 0.020544 0.030961 0.043958 0.060904 0.081957 0.106814 0.137930
2025-02-16 0.019782 0.030795 0.044808 0.063365 0.086720 0.114587 0.149789
2025-02-23 0.017200 0.028006 0.042125 0.061219 0.085662 0.115237 0.153035
2025-03-02 0.015480 0.026252 0.040667 0.060523 0.086320 0.117905 0.158674
2025-03-09 0.014061 0.024808 0.039523 0.060145 0.087310 0.120934 0.164728
2025-03-16 0.013576 0.024710 0.040231 0.062274 0.091614 0.128230 0.176245
2025-03-23 0.012765 0.024068 0.040144 0.063312 0.094506 0.133782 0.185661
2025-03-30 0.011955 0.023365 0.039922 0.064136 0.097104 0.138975 0.194671
2025-04-06 0.010841 0.022097 0.038818 0.063681 0.097962 0.141922 0.200855
2025-04-13 0.010217 0.021564 0.038745 0.064636 0.100696 0.147292 0.210141
2025-04-20 0.009265 0.020411 0.037684 0.064136 0.101420 0.150030 0.216067
2025-04-27 0.008597 0.019681 0.037216 0.064447 0.103226 0.154174 0.223808
2025-05-04 0.008191 0.019372 0.037369 0.065641 0.106242 0.159918 0.233642
2025-05-11 0.008129 0.019670 0.038470 0.068239 0.111238 0.168326 0.246996
2025-05-18 0.007029 0.017982 0.036346 0.065981 0.109369 0.167546 0.248339
2025-05-25 0.006337 0.016988 0.035277 0.065249 0.109608 0.169559 0.253324